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intent on enjoying a long-awaited vacation is going to get excited about an election more than 15 months off for an office that doesn’t mean much unless there is a tie vote in the State Senate?
Political pros know very well that few are paying attention to campaign rhetoric in these warm weather months. So like generals preparing their armies for combat, they do those things that the public could care less about but are the foundation upon which elections are won.
A good candidate is essential for so many elections are really won by candidates who are unable to connect with the voters.
Beyond that, though, if there are two candidates running who are about equal in ability and public appeal, the candidate who is better organized and funded will most often win unless that candidate is running in a district whose voters heavily favor the other party most often, or unless there are special circumstances such as a strong trend toward a particular party of philosophy. In 1994, for example, Democrats seeking election or re-election to the U.S. House of Representatives faced a tidal wave Jhat not the strongest organization or funding could withstand.
So forget the skirmishing you might see in the media until after Labor Day. Out there now the candidates for Senate and Congress this fall and those who plan to seek statewide office next year are putting together teams to plot strategy and to test the waters on fund raising ability. Anyone who has ever read military history (read about the Virginia campaigns of
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