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The final warning light is a ratio that exceeds 25 cows to 100 people. “If it gets higher than that, we’ve got too many cows,” he said. According to the marketing specialist, the ratio now stands at 21.5 cows per 100 people, balancing the drop in slaughter percentages and indicating that farmers have some time before beef prices decline.
"In 1981, I look for a good year, better than 1980,” predicted Williams, looking into his statistical “crystal ball.” “1982 will also be a good year. ’83 is getting a little far out and in 1984, we’re going to start getting into trouble.”
Overall economic conditions may make the farmer's position a little more precarious, according to Williams. “With the impact of inflation on production costs, it doesn’t take much of a price drop to hurt the beef cattle industry," he noted.
One of the bright spots for the beef business” is the decline in hogs coming to market, Williams continued, a decrease that averaged around 10 per cent for the first three quarters of 1980. Again looking into the beef
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