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In addition, Obenshain undoubtedly enjoys the loyalty, albeit with widely varying degrees of enthusiasm, of the GOP rankand-file across the state. There may have been a few defections, but in general the supporters of John Warner and Linwood Holton, Obenshain’s opponents for the senate nomination at last month’s convention, appear to have closed ranks behind the candidate.
For the purposes of argument, let us say that this solid Obenshain cadre makes up about 35 per cent of the state’s electorate. Miller, on the other hand, is widely considered to command the left. His grip on the black, liberal and labor vote, however, is far less secure than is his opponent’s on the conservatives. Unlike Obenshain, who will get almost no liberal help, Miller has strong ties to the state’s conservative establishment, a fact which might prove crucial, or even decisive, in the November balloting.
These ties, however, have not endeared him to the black, liberal and labor voters—the core of the Henry Howell constituency—who still have not forgotten the bitter gubernatorial primary struggle last year between Howell and Miller.
It has been said that these voters will utlimately come down on Miller’s side because they have no place else to go. But this is not necessarily so. While they will not vote for Obenshain, there is a third alternative. They can “go fishing” on election day, and many of them might do so.
Nevertheless, the essential base of Miller’s strength lies within the regular Democratic party, the
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