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local squirrel population, the amount of black on the woolly bear caterpillars now appearing in the county, among other traditional folklore.
Asked about the forecast accuracy of such traditional bellwethers of the seasons, Dr. Michaels replied, “There is absolutely no scientific evidence to support the accuracy of any of those forecasts.” When he was requested to give his own long-range prediction, Dr. Michaels called for “slightly above normal temperature and rainfall for the period through November.
He added, laughing, that his ability to forecast the weather a season in advance is “better than flipping a coin - but not much.”
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