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on information different from that used by the Weather Service “indicates above normal values, with the most likely time for turnaround in the late summer or early fall.” This model has a prediction accuracy of 57 to 62 percent.
The climatologist’s office adds that “while the individual confidence values are low — this is the nature of long-range forecasts —the fact that the three units of information are independent adds some additional credence. However, we emphasize that the confidence is sufficiently low so that localities should continue to monitor their situation carefully and to continue with drought contingency plans.”
The task force reported that the Suffolk and Chesapeake city water systems in the Tidewater are below 40 percent of normal capacity. The chloride level in the Northwest River was four times the recommended maximum level, and the sodium level was twice the recommended level for persons on
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