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trying to find the most profitable betting situation to exploit.
When it comes to steeplechases, however, all that stuff gets thrown out the window. A horse’s recent past performance doesn’t mean nearly as much as it does in a regular race. Many times a trainer will be using the races themselves to get a horse fit enough to win. Running three or four miles and jumping a bunch of fences isn’t easy, and it isn’t easy to get a horse ready to win.
Backing a winning —chaser often means backing a trainer with a hot hand. Finding one of those is fairly easy. Just check the list of leading trainers, and see if one of them has a horse in the field.
Of course, there are a lot fewer chasing trainers than there are regular trainers, and the successful ones seem to attract a lot of attention, but sometimes you can find a nugget.
If there is a short-priced favorite trained by one of the leading trainers, and there is another horse that is 4-1 or 51 in the field that is also trained by one of the better trainers, I’m throwing the short-priced horse out and going with the longer shot. But that’s just money manage
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