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than the increase in supply in these countries. Their imports ended up only about 60 mm tons in 1985.
Moreover, governments in several countries encouraged more grain production through protectionist policies. This increased competition when demand dropped in the early 1980s.
For example, farmers in the countries forming the European Economic Community responded to these support prices in such numbers that the EEC shifted from a grain importer to a supply source for 10 percent of the world grain trade.
Mr. Orden examined the interaction of world agriculture in his study, as well as the future role of Russia and China in world agricultural trade.
While agricultural production in Russia was erratic during the period, production in China rose 8 percent annually. Agricultural trade with these countries can still expand, Mr. Orden said, but only if they earn more income through nonagricultural trade.
His study also looked at current legislation which is designed to place restraints on trade, the need for international coordination of national farm policies, and the impact on international trade that arises from some U.S. farm support policies, such as the marketing loan program that became effective with the 1985 Farm Bill.
These and other special issues pose special problems for the upcoming Uruguay round of international trade negotiations being held under the auspices of the General Agreement of Tariffs and Trade (GATT), he observed.
A copy of Mr. Orden’s publication, M.B. 340, entitled “U.S. Agricultural Exports - Issues and Prospects,” can be obtained by making a request at the local Extension Office.
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