state that has elected an all-Democratic statewide slate in

state that has elected an all-Democratic statewide slate in three consecutive elections.

Yet a case can be made that an aggressive Republican ticket, if some semblance of unity can be preserved, can pose a serious threat to the Democratic victory streak.

In 1985 Ms. Terry beat Republican nominee Buster O’Brien to become attorney general. But O’Brien was damaged early by unfavorable media reports and waged a lackluster campaign.

The last time around State Sen. Joseph Benedetti attempted to mount a vigorous challenge to Ms. Terry, but was hampered by a lack of funds and the fact the media devoted practically all of its attention to Wilder’s effort to become the first black governor of any state in modem times.

The argument can therefore be made that Ms. Terry has not yet been in the crucible of a hotly contested race that will be the center of attention. She will employ her usual “play it safe” style, but that could made her vulnerable to a GOP challenger who comes across to the electorate as more exciting and charismatic.

Beyer profited greatly last time from his opponent’s mistakes and could be hurt if Republicans are able to field a winning gubernatorial nominee. Dolan is barely known out side of Democratic circles so that should make him the most potentially beatable of the Democrats.

I think the flow of the convention and its aftermath will be make or break for the Republican chances, and my crystal ball is too clouded to forecast what the flow will be.

However, if I were a bookmaker making odds at the moment on the coming general election, I would peg it 8-5 in favor of Terry and Beyer and 6-5 in favor of Dolan.

(Editor’s note: John Goolrick, a former political reporter, is now an aide to 1st District Rep. Herbert Bateman. Opinions expressed are his own and not necessarily thosq o f this newspaper.)

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