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By Matt Pelkey Rappahannock News StafT Writer
Rappahannock County Public Schools Superintendent Dr. Bob Chappell addressed the miscalculation that resulted in an overestimation of the number of students that would be attending Rappahannock County public schools this year.
In February of last school year, Chappell projected that 995 students would attend Rappahannock public schools in the 2007-2008 school year. Actual enrollment as of Sept. 30 was only 943.
Chappell made the projection based on several factors: the number of students in the graduating class, the number of students expected in the incoming kindergarten class, the number of students who pay tuition to attend the school and an estimate of the number of students who will transfer in or out of the school.
Chappell discussed the discrepancy between his estimate and actual enrollment at the Rappahannock County School Board’s meeting on Oct. 9. The difference amounted to a 5.23 percent overestimation.
“If I had it to do over again, I would say 977,” Chappell told the board.
He said he expected more transfer students from private and home schools, though 977 would still be too high.
“We expected 88 students to graduate in June 2007 and figured to have around 70 in the incoming kindergarten class,” Chappell said in a press release distributed at the school board meeting. “However, based on inquiries from parents in surrounding counties, I estimated a possible doubling of the number of tuition students from 7 to 14.1 also estimated a net increase
94.0%